Effective counterfactual reasoning should be related to a body of theory because
a. theories provide coherence and organization to our thoughts and help avoid random guessing.
b. doing so reduces the risk of anachronism.
c. using theories shortens the chain of causation.
d. a good "virtual history" must be based on a specific theory.
e. introducing randomness helps avoid bias stemming from the analyst's personal experiences.
Answer: a
Political Science
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