Give an example of how a fictitious leader deals with an international crisis in a way that combines operational code analysis, prospect theory, and poliheuristic theory.

What will be an ideal response?

Examples will vary, but should accurately show how operational code analysis, prospect theory, and poliheuristic theory can work together in international relations. For example, John is the leader of a country named Laratania. This country has controlled a small island off the coast of Danaria for about 100 years. Recently, Danaria took over the island for strategic purposes. John is a leader who see politics as constant conflict between competing states. According to operational code analysis, his instinct will be toengage in conflict instead of to seek cooperation. Because of this, his first impulse is for Laratania to declare war on Danaria.
However, several factorscause him to reconsider. First, Laratania is fairly prosperous at the moment, and John suspects that declaring war on Danaria could end up creating more losses for his country than gains. The island has thick jungles. A conflict there could last years. He does not want to risk a long war that will end in defeat. This thought process demonstrates prospect theory. Also, he presented the option of declaring war to his advisors. They told him that public opinion would be against the war. Considering all these factors, John rules out the option of declaring war. He then considers viable options, which is a demonstration of poliheuristic theory. The option that appeals to him the most is getting a coalition of states to support his view that Danaria’s take over of the island is unfair. Then Laratania and its allies would impose severe sanctions on Danaria until it returns the island to Laratania.